Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) stock surged +2.11%, trading at $12.11 on NASDAQ, up from the previous close of $11.86. The stock opened at $11.95, fluctuating between $11.83 and $12.14 in the recent session.
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NASDAQ:REFI) closed at $12.11 USD, gaining $0.25 (2.11%) from the previous close of $11.86. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $10.74 and $15.20. With a market capitalization of about $255.28 million, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. is classified as a micro-cap and shows lower-than-market volatility (beta ~0.30).
Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 156.55 thousand shares, in line with its 52-week average. Headquartered in Miami Beach, IL, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates in the Real Estate sector and the REIT - Mortgage industry. Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate finance company in the United States.
REFI has shown mixed momentum, losing -0.24% over the past week and -6.2% over the past quarter, though year-to-date performance is up 1.14%. Short-term trend indicators are bullishly aligned (SMA20 1.47%, SMA50 -1.04%, SMA200 -7.59%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 53.49 (neutral), while the ATR of 0.25 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains sitting in the mid-range of its 52-week band, trading -24.71% below its high and over 5.42% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 130.08 thousand shares is below the 3-month average of 156.72 thousand, indicating normal recent market interest.
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 7.06, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 4.45 and a price-to-book ratio of 0.83 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at 8.87, also above market averages.
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. last paid a dividend of 1.88 per share,
Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $27.04. This means the shares are trading below this model’s fair value.
Earnings & Analyst Outlook
Wall Street analysts project EPS growth of 2.09% annually over the next five years. The latest quarter delivered EPS of $415.83. The next quarter is forecast at $0.46. Next year's EPS is expected at $1.52. Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. earnings surprise history is a consistent trend of beating forecasts. The quarter that ended November 04, 2025, missed forecasts by 90297.83%. The prior quarter beat by 13.33%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 82351.79% in August 07, 2024.
Shareholding & Insider Activity
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. has 21.07 million shares outstanding. The public float is 18.09 million shares, elevated short interest at 2.36% of float. This equals 456.42 thousand shares. The short ratio is 3.97 days. Institutional investors hold 38.94% of the float. Insiders own 14.16%. Chicago Atlantic Fund QP, LLC holds 6.61 million shares, Chicago Atlantic CRE Holdings, LLC has 4.13 million shares and Mazarakis John has 416.61 thousand shares.
Our AI price prediction model suggests that Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected increase of 4.46%, with price expected at $12.65 by May 01, 2026, within a range of $12.32 to $12.98 3-Month Outlook: Projected rise of 0.33%, reaching $12.15 by July 16, 2026, with a range of $12.02 to $12.31. 1-Year Outlook: Projected gain of 61.6%, with price at $19.57 by April 16, 2027, within a range of $13.92 to $23.54.
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NASDAQ:REFI) shares are flat 1.14% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been negative over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of 7.06. Analyst sentiment is cautious, with the majority of ratings in Market Outperform territory and a mean price target of $18.73, suggesting 54.67% upside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term strength (4.46% over two weeks), a medium-term rise (0.33% over three months), and a longer-term gain (61.6% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.