NREF Company Profile and Key Details

Short-term trend indicators are bearishly aligned (SMA20 -1.22%, SMA50 0.73%, SMA200 1.92%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 48.64 (neutral), while the ATR of 0.35 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -12.95% below its high and over 20.47% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 48.35 thousand shares is below the 3-month average of 62.66 thousand, indicating normal recent market interest.

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. generated EPS of $2.86 over the past year. Five-year average earnings growth is -12.55%. Wall Street analysts project EPS growth of 2.97% annually over the next five years. The latest quarter delivered EPS of $0.42. The next quarter is forecast at $0.49. Next year's EPS is expected at $1.05. Analyst sentiment is neutral. Analyst rating data shows there are 0 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, 5 Hold ratings, 0 Sell rating and 0 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $16.00 to $14.00. The high target offers -5.27% upside. The low target suggests -17.11% downside. The mean target is $14.90. This offers -11.78% upside. NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. earnings surprise history is a consistent trend of beating forecasts. The quarter that ended April 30, 2026, missed forecasts by 2.32%. The prior quarter beat by 0.0%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 6.41% in February 27, 2025.

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. has 18.85 million shares outstanding. The public float is 11.40 million shares, elevated short interest at 5.14% of float. This equals 410.34 thousand shares. The short ratio is 5.69 days. Institutional investors hold 77.84% of the float. Insiders own 8.94%. DONDERO JAMES D holds 319.49 thousand shares, McGraner Matt has 140.90 thousand shares and Goetz Matthew has 67.51 thousand shares.

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NYSE:NREF) closed at $16.89 USD, gaining $0.02 (0.12%) from the previous close of $16.87. The stock is currently within 5% of its 52-week high $12.36 and $17.44. With a market capitalization of about $318.34 million, NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. is classified as a small-cap and shows market-like volatility (beta ~1.16). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 63.87 thousand shares, volume is running light vs its 52-week average. Headquartered in Dallas, TX, NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates in the Real Estate sector and the REIT - Mortgage industry. Led by CEO James David Dondero, the company employs approximately 1 people and listed since February 07, 2020. NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) is a U.S.-based real estate finance firm.

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. last paid a dividend of 2 per share, Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $12.37. This means the shares are trading above this model’s fair value.

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 4.27, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 2.17 and a price-to-book ratio of 0.81 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at 19.67, also below market averages.

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NYSE:NREF) shares are flat 1.99% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been positive over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of 4.27. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with the majority of ratings in Neutral territory and a mean price target of $15.87, suggesting -6.04% downside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term strength (0.53% over two weeks), a medium-term rise (0.71% over three months), and a longer-term loss (-2.31% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected increase of 0.53%, with price expected at $16.98 by August 12, 2026, within a range of $16.49 to $17.44 3-Month Outlook: Projected rise of 0.71%, reaching $17.01 by October 27, 2026, with a range of $16.78 to $17.27. 1-Year Outlook: Projected loss of -2.31%, with price at $16.50 by July 29, 2027, within a range of $16.11 to $16.90.