MTH Company Profile and Key Details

Short-term trend indicators are bearishly aligned (SMA20 -0.59%, SMA50 3.93%, SMA200 5.92%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 50.08 (neutral), while the ATR of 2.72 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains sitting in the mid-range of its 52-week band, trading -10.97% below its high and over 27.28% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 1.05 million shares is slightly above the 3-month average of 945.55 thousand, indicating heightened recent market interest.

Meritage Homes Corporation has 66.80 million shares outstanding. The public float is 64.98 million shares, elevated short interest at 4.84% of float. This equals 3.16 million shares. The short ratio is 2.76 days. Institutional investors hold 106.01% of the float. Insiders own 2.25%. HILTON STEVEN J holds 841.60 thousand shares, Lord Phillippe has 260.39 thousand shares and Sferruzza Hilla has 124.96 thousand shares. Over the past six months, insider transactions show net selling. They sold 9.63 thousand shares across 13 transactions.

Meritage Homes Corporation last paid a dividend of 1.77 per share, Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around -$7.26. This means the shares are trading below this model’s fair value.

Meritage Homes Corporation generated EPS of $6.33 over the past year. Five-year average earnings growth is 2.91%. Wall Street analysts project EPS growth of 13.96% annually over the next five years. The latest quarter delivered EPS of $0.86. The next quarter is forecast at $1.00. Next year's EPS is expected at -$4.83. Analyst sentiment is neutral. Analyst rating data shows there are 2 Strong Buy ratings, 8 Buy ratings, 12 Hold ratings, 0 Sell rating and 0 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $104.00 to $58.00. The high target offers 42.66% upside. The low target suggests -20.44% downside. The mean target is $82.09. This offers 12.61% upside. Meritage Homes Corporation earnings surprise history is a mixed track record. The quarter that ended April 22, 2026, missed forecasts by -11.89%. The prior quarter beat by 7.74%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 3.74% in January 29, 2025.

Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH) closed at $72.90 USD, losing -$1.54 (-2.07%) from the previous close of $74.44. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $58.03 and $84.74. With a market capitalization of about $4.87 billion, Meritage Homes Corporation is classified as a mid-cap and shows higher-than-market volatility (beta ~1.41). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 953.54 thousand shares, in line with its 52-week average. Headquartered in Scottsdale, AZ, Meritage Homes Corporation operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector and the Residential Construction industry. Led by CEO Phillippe Lord, the company employs approximately 1,898 people and listed since July 26, 1988. Meritage Homes Corporation, alongside its associated companies, focuses on the design and construction of single-family residences throughout the United States.

Meritage Homes Corporation trades at a P/E ratio of 12.87, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.88 and a price-to-book ratio of 0.97 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at 20.7, also above market averages.

Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH) shares are up 13.47% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been positive over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows Meritage Homes Corporation trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of 12.87. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with the majority of ratings in Neutral territory and a mean price target of $124.67, suggesting 71.02% upside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term strength (8.49% over two weeks), a medium-term rise (111.28% over three months), and a longer-term loss (-13.42% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that Meritage Homes Corporation stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected increase of 8.49%, with price expected at $79.09 by June 26, 2026, within a range of $77.48 to $80.78 3-Month Outlook: Projected rise of 111.28%, reaching $154.02 by September 10, 2026, with a range of $147.10 to $162.09. 1-Year Outlook: Projected loss of -13.42%, with price at $63.12 by June 11, 2027, within a range of $58.55 to $66.98.