MTH Company Profile and Key Details

Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH) closed at $66.56 USD, gaining $0.86 (1.31%) from the previous close of $65.70. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $59.27 and $84.74. With a market capitalization of about $4.76 billion, Meritage Homes Corporation is classified as a mid-cap and shows higher-than-market volatility (beta ~1.44). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 853.92 thousand shares, volume is running light vs its 52-week average. Headquartered in Scottsdale, AZ, Meritage Homes Corporation operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector and the Residential Construction industry. Led by CEO Phillippe Lord, the company employs approximately 1,898 people and listed since July 26, 1988. Meritage Homes Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs and builds single-family homes in the United States.

MTH has shown weak momentum, losing -7.59% over the past week and -10.0% over the past quarter, though year-to-date performance is down -14.58%. Short-term trend indicators are mixed aligned (SMA20 -7.33%, SMA50 -5.22%, SMA200 -6.39%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 35.91 (weak momentum), while the ATR of 1.97 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains sitting in the mid-range of its 52-week band, trading -22.46% below its high and over 10.85% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 958.27 thousand shares is slightly above the 3-month average of 823.03 thousand, indicating heightened recent market interest.

Meritage Homes Corporation has 71.16 million shares outstanding. The public float is 69.54 million shares, elevated short interest at 4.53% of float. This equals 3.15 million shares. The short ratio is 2.6 days. Institutional investors hold 106.01% of the float. Insiders own 2.25%. HILTON STEVEN J holds 800.19 thousand shares, Lord Phillippe has 221.32 thousand shares and Sferruzza Hilla has 108.37 thousand shares. Over the past six months, insider transactions show net selling. They sold 8.11 thousand shares across 2 transactions.

Meritage Homes Corporation last paid a dividend of 1.72 per share, Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $36.14. This means the shares are trading above this model’s fair value.

Meritage Homes Corporation generated EPS of $7.49 over the past year. Five-year average earnings growth is 27.28%. Wall Street analysts project EPS growth of -8.46% annually over the next five years. The latest quarter delivered EPS of $1.39. The next quarter is forecast at $1.56. Next year's EPS is expected at -$4.83. Analyst sentiment is neutral. Analyst rating data shows there are 1 Strong Buy ratings, 5 Buy ratings, 9 Hold ratings, 0 Sell rating and 0 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $118.00 to $60.00. The high target offers 77.28% upside. The low target suggests -9.86% downside. The mean target is $85.07. This offers 27.81% upside. Meritage Homes Corporation earnings surprise history is a mixed track record. The quarter that ended October 28, 2025, missed forecasts by -18.71%. The prior quarter beat by 2.51%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 22.05% in July 24, 2024.

Meritage Homes Corporation trades at a P/E ratio of 8.69, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.79 and a price-to-book ratio of 0.89 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at -18.86, also below market averages.

Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH) shares are down -14.58% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been negative over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows Meritage Homes Corporation trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of 8.69. Analyst sentiment is cautious, with the majority of ratings in In-Line territory and a mean price target of $132.66, suggesting 99.31% upside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term weakness (-7.03% over two weeks), a medium-term fall (-29.04% over three months), and a longer-term gain (1.5% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that Meritage Homes Corporation stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected decline of -7.03%, with price expected at $61.88 by January 06, 2026, within a range of $59.71 to $64.25 3-Month Outlook: Projected fall of -29.04%, reaching $47.23 by March 23, 2026, with a range of $44.35 to $49.93. 1-Year Outlook: Projected gain of 1.5%, with price at $67.56 by December 23, 2026, within a range of $62.85 to $72.60.