MFA Company Profile and Key Details

MFA Financial, Inc. (NYSE:MFA) closed at $9.54 USD, gaining $0.15 (1.65%) from the previous close of $9.38. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $8.78 and $10.57. With a market capitalization of about $973.46 million, MFA Financial, Inc. is classified as a small-cap and shows higher-than-market volatility (beta ~1.50). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 1.42 million shares, in line with its 52-week average. Headquartered in New York City, NY, MFA Financial, Inc. operates in the Real Estate sector and the REIT - Mortgage industry. Led by CEO Craig L. Knutson, the company employs approximately 348 people and listed since April 13, 1998. MFA Financial, Inc., along with its subsidiary entities, operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) within the United States.

Short-term trend indicators are bearishly aligned (SMA20 3.88%, SMA50 4.67%, SMA200 7.06%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 63.58 (firm momentum), while the ATR of 0.21 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -7.63% below its high and over 30.38% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 1.40 million shares is in line with the 3-month average of 1.42 million, indicating normal recent market interest.

MFA Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 7.19, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.33 and a price-to-book ratio of 0.54 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at 5.89, also below market averages.

MFA Financial, Inc. last paid a dividend of 1.44 per share, this equals a trailing yield of roughly 15.19%. Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $6.04. This means the shares are trading above this model’s fair value.

The latest quarter delivered EPS of $0.30. The next quarter is forecast at $0.31. Next year's EPS is expected at $440.08. Analyst sentiment is neutral. Analyst rating data shows there are 2 Strong Buy ratings, 2 Buy ratings, 7 Hold ratings, 0 Sell rating and 0 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $11.50 to $10.00. The high target offers 22.6% upside. The low target suggests 6.61% downside. The mean target is $10.52. This offers 12.15% upside. MFA Financial, Inc. earnings surprise history is frequent misses against expectations. The quarter that ended May 05, 2026, missed forecasts by -3.57%. The prior quarter beat by 0.52%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include -2.5% in February 19, 2025.

MFA Financial, Inc. has 102.67 million shares outstanding. The public float is 101.21 million shares, elevated short interest at 2.59% of float. This equals 2.64 million shares. The short ratio is 2.11 days. Institutional investors hold 55.42% of the float. Insiders own 0.92%. GORIN WILLIAM S holds 744.83 thousand shares, FREYDBERG RONALD A has 643.44 thousand shares and ZIMMERMAN STEWART has 594.78 thousand shares.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that MFA Financial, Inc. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected decline of -2.03%, with price expected at $9.19 by June 30, 2026, within a range of $9.02 to $9.37 3-Month Outlook: Projected rise of 79.53%, reaching $16.84 by September 14, 2026, with a range of $15.90 to $17.88. 1-Year Outlook: Projected gain of 30.49%, with price at $12.24 by June 16, 2027, within a range of $0.42 to $17.54.

MFA Financial, Inc. (NYSE:MFA) shares are flat 6.55% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been positive over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows MFA Financial, Inc. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of 7.19. Analyst sentiment is bullish, with the majority of ratings in Buy territory and a mean price target of $11.03, suggesting 17.59% upside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term weakness (-2.03% over two weeks), a medium-term rise (79.53% over three months), and a longer-term gain (30.49% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.