ARCO Company Profile and Key Details

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. has 130.66 million shares outstanding. The public float is 120.22 million shares, elevated short interest at 6.81% of float. This equals 7.37 million shares. The short ratio is 5.89 days. Institutional investors hold 51.0% of the float. Insiders own 4.58%. Over the past six months, insider transactions show net selling. They sold 20.00 thousand shares across 1 transactions.

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) closed at $8.23 USD, losing -$0.07 (-0.84%) from the previous close of $8.30. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $6.51 and $9.75. With a market capitalization of about $1.73 billion, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is classified as a small-cap and shows lower-than-market volatility (beta ~0.48). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 1.41 million shares, in line with its 52-week average. Headquartered in Montevideo, MO, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector and the Restaurants industry. Led by CEO Luis Raganato, the company employs approximately 100,000 people and listed since April 14, 2011. Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. serves as the premier franchisee for McDonald's, holding exclusive rights to operate, own, and sub-franchise the fast-food chain's eateries.

Short-term trend indicators are bearishly aligned (SMA20 4.19%, SMA50 11.99%, SMA200 19.99%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 63.72 (firm momentum), while the ATR of 0.28 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -0.89% below its high and over 36.66% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 1.52 million shares is in line with the 3-month average of 1.40 million, indicating normal recent market interest.

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. last paid a dividend of 0.26 per share, Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $16.80. This means the shares are trading below this model’s fair value.

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. generated EPS of $1.16 over the past year. Five-year average earnings growth is 12.81%. Wall Street analysts project EPS growth of 5.35% annually over the next five years. The latest quarter delivered EPS of $0.17. The next quarter is forecast at $0.20. Next year's EPS is expected at $5.88. Analyst sentiment is neutral. Analyst rating data shows there are 1 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, 2 Hold ratings, 0 Sell rating and 0 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $10.50 to $8.50. The high target offers 27.58% upside. The low target suggests 3.28% downside. The mean target is $9.23. This offers 12.15% upside. Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. earnings surprise history is a mixed track record. The quarter that ended May 20, 2026, missed forecasts by 54.55%. The prior quarter beat by -119.74%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 27.27% in March 12, 2025.

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 7.38, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.36 and a price-to-book ratio of 2.23 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at 31.53, also above market averages.

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) shares are flat 0.95% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been positive over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of 7.38. Analyst sentiment is bullish, with the majority of ratings in Overweight territory and a mean price target of $10.09, suggesting 22.6% upside.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 3-Month Outlook: Projected fall of -31.11%, reaching $5.67 by October 12, 2026, with a range of $5.40 to $5.93. 1-Year Outlook: Projected gain of 124.54%, with price at $18.48 by July 16, 2027, within a range of $6.95 to $26.30.