MP Company Profile and Key Details

MP has shown mixed momentum, gaining 4.65% over the past week and -15.36% over the past quarter, though year-to-date performance is up 35.35%. Short-term trend indicators are bearishly aligned (SMA20 -4.82%, SMA50 2.24%, SMA200 12.56%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 49.13 (neutral), while the ATR of 5.21 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -38.89% below its high and over 228.65% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 10.13 million shares is slightly above the 3-month average of 9.11 million, indicating heightened recent market interest.

MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) closed at $61.26 USD, gaining $4.71 (8.33%) from the previous close of $56.55. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $18.64 and $100.25. With a market capitalization of about $10.86 billion, MP Materials Corp. is classified as a large-cap and shows higher-than-market volatility (beta ~1.56). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 8.98 million shares, in line with its 52-week average. Headquartered in Las Vegas, NV, MP Materials Corp. operates in the Basic Materials sector and the Industrial Materials industry. Led by CEO James Henry Litinsky, the company employs approximately 804 people and listed since June 22, 2020. MP Materials Corp. owns and operates rare earth mining and processing facilities.

MP Materials Corp. last paid a dividend of 0 per share, Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around -$17.92. This means the shares are trading below this model’s fair value.

MP Materials Corp. generated EPS of -$0.70 over the past year. Five-year average earnings growth is -41.29%. The latest quarter delivered EPS of -$0.10. The next quarter is forecast at $0.00. Next year's EPS is expected at $74.03. Analyst sentiment is bullish. Analyst rating data shows there are 6 Strong Buy ratings, 10 Buy ratings, 6 Hold ratings, 0 Sell rating and 0 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $112.00 to $29.00. The high target offers 82.83% upside. The low target suggests -52.66% downside. The mean target is $67.18. This offers 9.66% upside. MP Materials Corp. earnings surprise history is a mixed track record. The quarter that ended November 06, 2025, missed forecasts by -28.57%. The prior quarter beat by -34.02%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 70.0% in August 01, 2024.

MP Materials Corp. has 177.10 million shares outstanding. The public float is 133.57 million shares, elevated short interest at 13.74% of float. This equals 22.20 million shares. The short ratio is 1.04 days. Institutional investors hold 92.7% of the float. Insiders own 16.4%. Litinsky James H. holds 12.81 million shares, Rosenthal Michael Stuart has 1.28 million shares and QVT Financial LP has 1.12 million shares. Over the past six months, insider transactions show net selling. They sold 495.39 thousand shares across 8 transactions.

MP Materials Corp. trades at a P/E ratio of -90.68, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 46.66 and a price-to-book ratio of 4.49 trading at moderately above to book value. The P/FCF stands at -47.21, also below market averages.

MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) shares are up 35.35% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been negative over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows MP Materials Corp. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of -90.68. Analyst sentiment is bullish, with the majority of ratings in Overweight territory and a mean price target of $44.66, suggesting -27.1% downside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term weakness (-5.65% over two weeks), a medium-term fall (-86.94% over three months), and a longer-term gain (10.02% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that MP Materials Corp. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected decline of -5.65%, with price expected at $57.80 by February 20, 2026, within a range of $53.58 to $62.29 3-Month Outlook: Projected fall of -86.94%, reaching $8.00 by May 06, 2026, with a range of $5.50 to $9.28. 1-Year Outlook: Projected gain of 10.02%, with price at $67.40 by February 05, 2027, within a range of $62.37 to $73.86.