MP Company Profile and Key Details

MP has shown mixed momentum, gaining 4.65% over the past week and -15.36% over the past quarter, though year-to-date performance is up 35.35%. Short-term trend indicators are mixed aligned (SMA20 1.21%, SMA50 0.64%, SMA200 5.9%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 50.45 (neutral), while the ATR of 3.87 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -40.15% below its high and over 221.89% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 4.78 million shares is below the 3-month average of 5.80 million, indicating normal recent market interest.

MP Materials Corp. has 178.10 million shares outstanding. The public float is 144.32 million shares, elevated short interest at 17.29% of float. This equals 28.31 million shares. The short ratio is 5.27 days. Institutional investors hold 88.09% of the float. Insiders own 19.62%. Litinsky James H. holds 11.62 million shares, QVT Financial LP has 1.12 million shares and Gold Daniel Allen has 1.12 million shares. Over the past six months, insider transactions show net selling. They sold 758.41 thousand shares across 10 transactions.

MP Materials Corp. last paid a dividend of 0 per share, Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around -$7.47. This means the shares are trading below this model’s fair value.

MP Materials Corp. generated EPS of -$0.70 over the past year. Five-year average earnings growth is -41.29%. The latest quarter delivered EPS of -$0.01. The next quarter is forecast at $0.00. Next year's EPS is expected at $74.03. Analyst sentiment is bullish. Analyst rating data shows there are 12 Strong Buy ratings, 13 Buy ratings, 1 Hold ratings, 0 Sell rating and 0 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $112.00 to $60.00. The high target offers 105.39% upside. The low target suggests 10.03% downside. The mean target is $77.44. This offers 42.01% upside. MP Materials Corp. earnings surprise history is a mixed track record. The quarter that ended August 06, 2026, missed forecasts by -0.6%. The prior quarter beat by -400.0%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 20.0% in May 08, 2025.

MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) closed at $54.53 USD, gaining $0.75 (1.39%) from the previous close of $53.78. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $37.81 and $100.25. With a market capitalization of about $9.71 billion, MP Materials Corp. is classified as a mid-cap and shows higher-than-market volatility (beta ~1.92). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 5.83 million shares, in line with its 52-week average. Headquartered in Las Vegas, NV, MP Materials Corp. operates in the Basic Materials sector and the Industrial Materials industry. Led by CEO James Henry Litinsky, the company employs approximately 998 people and listed since June 22, 2020. MP Materials Corp. manages and operates facilities dedicated to the extraction and refinement of rare earth elements.

MP Materials Corp. trades at a P/E ratio of -159.26, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 31.73 and a price-to-book ratio of 4.96 trading at moderately above to book value. The P/FCF stands at -19.21, also below market averages.

MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) shares are up 35.35% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been negative over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows MP Materials Corp. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of -159.26. Analyst sentiment is bullish, with the majority of ratings in Buy territory and a mean price target of $50.96, suggesting -6.55% downside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term strength (10.73% over two weeks), a medium-term rise (67.1% over three months), and a longer-term gain (50.36% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that MP Materials Corp. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected increase of 10.73%, with price expected at $60.38 by September 18, 2026, within a range of $55.76 to $64.81 3-Month Outlook: Projected rise of 67.1%, reaching $91.12 by December 03, 2026, with a range of $81.49 to $99.41. 1-Year Outlook: Projected gain of 50.36%, with price at $81.99 by September 03, 2027, within a range of $77.92 to $87.17.