CAKE Company Profile and Key Details

Short-term trend indicators are bearishly aligned (SMA20 5.17%, SMA50 12.54%, SMA200 14.75%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 62.68 (firm momentum), while the ATR of 2.31 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains sitting in the mid-range of its 52-week band, trading -6.63% below its high and over 52.45% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 1.32 million shares is in line with the 3-month average of 1.22 million, indicating normal recent market interest.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated has 49.81 million shares outstanding. The public float is 40.39 million shares, elevated short interest at 26.60% of float. This equals 8.81 million shares. The short ratio is 5.24 days. Institutional investors hold 122.97% of the float. Insiders own 8.02%. OVERTON DAVID holds 3.08 million shares, SIMON HERBERT has 170.24 thousand shares and BENN DOUG has 53.88 thousand shares. Over the past six months, insider transactions show net selling. They sold 127.07 thousand shares across 7 transactions.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated last paid a dividend of 1.14 per share, this equals a trailing yield of roughly 2.72%. Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $76.74. This means the shares are trading near this model’s fair value.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) closed at $79.18 USD, losing -$0.46 (-0.58%) from the previous close of $79.64. The stock is currently within 5% of its 52-week high $43.07 and $80.93. With a market capitalization of about $3.93 billion, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is classified as a mid-cap and shows market-like volatility (beta ~1.04). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 1.23 million shares, in line with its 52-week average. Headquartered in Calabasas, CA, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector and the Restaurants industry. Led by CEO David Overton, the company employs approximately 47,900 people and listed since September 18, 1992. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated primarily operates restaurants.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated trades at a P/E ratio of 22.37, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.03 and a price-to-book ratio of 8.03 trading at moderately above to book value. The P/FCF stands at 22.99, also below market averages.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) shares are up 14.24% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been positive over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of 22.37. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with the majority of ratings in Neutral territory and a mean price target of $50.13, suggesting -36.69% downside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term strength (10.51% over two weeks), a medium-term fall (-4.66% over three months), and a longer-term gain (11.44% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected increase of 10.51%, with price expected at $87.50 by July 16, 2026, within a range of $85.40 to $89.59 3-Month Outlook: Projected fall of -4.66%, reaching $75.49 by September 30, 2026, with a range of $72.94 to $78.54. 1-Year Outlook: Projected gain of 11.44%, with price at $88.24 by July 02, 2027, within a range of $86.46 to $89.96.