CAKE Company Profile and Key Details

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) closed at $63.25 USD, gaining $0.43 (0.68%) from the previous close of $62.82. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $42.69 and $69.70. With a market capitalization of about $3.15 billion, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is classified as a mid-cap and shows market-like volatility (beta ~0.98). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 1.16 million shares, in line with its 52-week average. Headquartered in Calabasas, CA, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector and the Restaurants industry. Led by CEO David Overton, the company employs approximately 47,900 people and listed since September 18, 1992. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates restaurants.

Short-term trend indicators are mixed aligned (SMA20 6.49%, SMA50 17.15%, SMA200 13.15%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 71.2 (overbought), while the ATR of 1.81 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains sitting in the mid-range of its 52-week band, trading -9.25% below its high and over 48.16% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 1.17 million shares is in line with the 3-month average of 1.13 million, indicating normal recent market interest.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated last paid a dividend of 1.08 per share, this equals a trailing yield of roughly 2.72%. Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $43.79. This means the shares are trading above this model’s fair value.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated has 49.81 million shares outstanding. The public float is 40.39 million shares, elevated short interest at 26.60% of float. This equals 8.81 million shares. The short ratio is 5.24 days. Institutional investors hold 122.97% of the float. Insiders own 8.02%. OVERTON DAVID holds 3.01 million shares, SIMON HERBERT has 170.24 thousand shares and BENN DOUG has 53.88 thousand shares. Over the past six months, insider transactions show net selling. They sold 9.94 thousand shares across 1 transactions.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated generated EPS of $3.29 over the past year. Five-year average earnings growth is 2.3%. Wall Street analysts project EPS growth of 9.01% annually over the next five years. The latest quarter delivered EPS of $0.68. The next quarter is forecast at $0.99. Next year's EPS is expected at $17.81. Analyst sentiment is bearish. Analyst rating data shows there are 9 Strong Buy ratings, 4 Buy ratings, 14 Hold ratings, 2 Sell rating and 13 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $73.00 to $40.00. The high target offers 15.42% upside. The low target suggests -36.76% downside. The mean target is $57.52. This offers -9.06% upside. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated earnings surprise history is a consistent trend of beating forecasts. The quarter that ended October 28, 2025, missed forecasts by 13.33%. The prior quarter beat by 9.43%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 9.0% in July 31, 2024.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated trades at a P/E ratio of 18.51, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.86 and a price-to-book ratio of 7.0 trading at moderately above to book value. The P/FCF stands at 20.04, also above market averages.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected decline of -1.96%, with price expected at $62.01 by February 19, 2026, within a range of $60.22 to $63.93 3-Month Outlook: Projected rise of 8.46%, reaching $68.60 by May 06, 2026, with a range of $65.87 to $71.64. 1-Year Outlook: Projected gain of 9.57%, with price at $69.30 by February 05, 2027, within a range of $67.19 to $71.08.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) shares are up 14.24% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been positive over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of 18.51. Analyst sentiment is cautious, with the majority of ratings in Underweight territory and a mean price target of $47.71, suggesting -24.57% downside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term weakness (-1.96% over two weeks), a medium-term rise (8.46% over three months), and a longer-term gain (9.57% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.