ARI Company Profile and Key Details

Short-term trend indicators are mixed aligned (SMA20 0.48%, SMA50 -1.79%, SMA200 4.3%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 49.56 (neutral), while the ATR of 0.22 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -8.64% below its high and over 31.82% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 853.49 thousand shares is in line with the 3-month average of 850.37 thousand, indicating normal recent market interest.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. has 138.94 million shares outstanding. The public float is 129.91 million shares, elevated short interest at 3.59% of float. This equals 3.57 million shares. The short ratio is 4.78 days. Institutional investors hold 67.99% of the float. Insiders own 0.68%. Qatar Investment Authority holds 6.77 million shares, Athene Group Ltd has 2.31 million shares and ZIMAN RICHARD S has 935.60 thousand shares. Over the past six months, insider transactions show net selling. They sold 114.15 thousand shares across 3 transactions.

Wall Street analysts project EPS growth of 45.92% annually over the next five years. The latest quarter delivered EPS of $0.26. The next quarter is forecast at $0.25. Next year's EPS is expected at -$4.19. Analyst sentiment is neutral. Analyst rating data shows there are 4 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, 4 Hold ratings, 0 Sell rating and 0 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $11.00 to $8.75. The high target offers 8.37% upside. The low target suggests -13.79% downside. The mean target is $10.12. This offers -0.3% upside. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. earnings surprise history is a consistent trend of beating forecasts. The quarter that ended July 29, 2025, missed forecasts by 0.0%. The prior quarter beat by -4.0%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 2.86% in April 29, 2024.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. last paid a dividend of 1 per share, this equals a trailing yield of roughly 11.51%. Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $13.36. This means the shares are trading below this model’s fair value.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NYSE:ARI) closed at $10.15 USD, gaining $0.17 (1.70%) from the previous close of $9.98. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $7.70 and $11.11. With a market capitalization of about $1.41 billion, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is classified as a small-cap and shows higher-than-market volatility (beta ~1.64). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 880.14 thousand shares, in line with its 52-week average. Headquartered in New York City, NY, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates in the Real Estate sector and the REIT - Mortgage industry. Led by CEO Stuart A. Rothstein CPA, the company employs approximately 0 people and listed since September 24, 2009. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments in the United States.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of -332.77, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 2.19 and a price-to-book ratio of 0.75 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at 16.57, also below market averages.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected increase of 0.99%, with price expected at $10.25 by October 31, 2025, within a range of $10.04 to $10.45 3-Month Outlook: Projected rise of 36.26%, reaching $13.83 by January 15, 2026, with a range of $13.23 to $14.52. 1-Year Outlook: Projected gain of 209.56%, with price at $31.42 by October 16, 2026, within a range of $31.15 to $40.58.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NYSE:ARI) shares are up 17.21% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been positive over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of -332.77. Analyst sentiment is bullish, with the majority of ratings in Overweight territory and a mean price target of $13.21, suggesting 30.15% upside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term strength (0.99% over two weeks), a medium-term rise (36.26% over three months), and a longer-term gain (209.56% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.