MESA Company Profile and Key Details

Short-term trend indicators are bearishly aligned (SMA20 -5.58%, SMA50 -1.14%, SMA200 21.73%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 44.42 (neutral), while the ATR of 1.65 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -18.6% below its high and over 105.58% above its low.

Mesa Air Group, Inc. last paid a dividend of 0 per share, Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around -$1.05. This means the shares are trading below this model’s fair value.

Mesa Air Group, Inc. earnings surprise history is frequent misses against expectations. The quarter that ended May 14, 2025, missed forecasts by -461.2%. The prior quarter beat by -204.83%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 487.58% in May 20, 2024.

Mesa Air Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MESA) closed at $18.78 USD, losing -$2.22 (-10.57%) from the previous close of $21.00. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $1.35 and $25.80. With a market capitalization of about $3.50 million, Mesa Air Group, Inc. is classified as a micro-cap and shows higher-than-market volatility (beta ~2.49). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 10.15 thousand shares, trading with heavier-than-usual volume. Headquartered in Phoenix, AZ, Mesa Air Group, Inc. operates in the Industrials sector and the Airlines, Airports & Air Services industry. Led by CEO Jonathan G. Ornstein, the company employs approximately 1,992 people and listed since August 10, 2018. Mesa Air Group, Inc. operates as the holding company for Mesa Airlines, Inc. that provides regional air carrier services under capacity purchase agreements with the American Airlines and the United Airlines.

Mesa Air Group, Inc. has 41.87 million shares outstanding. The public float is 30.10 million shares, elevated short interest at 0.78% of float. This equals 308.21 thousand shares. The short ratio is 2.57 days. Institutional investors hold 22.62% of the float. Insiders own 22.53%. LC CAPITAL MASTER FUND LTD holds 13.08 million shares, DEUTSCHE BANK AG\ has 12.73 million shares and GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC has 10.11 million shares.

Mesa Air Group, Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of -0.02, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.01 and a price-to-book ratio of -0.07 indicating negative book value, which may reflect financial stress. The P/FCF stands at -0.07, also below market averages.

Mesa Air Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MESA) shares are up 20.69% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been positive over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows Mesa Air Group, Inc. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of -0.02. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with the majority of ratings in Hold territory and a mean price target of $8.89, suggesting -57.67% downside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term weakness (-92.57% over two weeks), a medium-term fall (-90.43% over three months), and a longer-term loss (-8.48% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that Mesa Air Group, Inc. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected decline of -92.57%, with price expected at $1.56 by December 08, 2025, within a range of $1.50 to $1.64 3-Month Outlook: Projected fall of -90.43%, reaching $2.01 by February 20, 2026, with a range of $1.95 to $2.08. 1-Year Outlook: Projected loss of -8.48%, with price at $19.22 by November 24, 2026, within a range of $17.66 to $25.03.