AMSF Company Profile and Key Details

AMERISAFE, Inc. generated EPS of $2.61 over the past year. Five-year average earnings growth is -9.61%. The latest quarter delivered EPS of $0.55. The next quarter is forecast at $0.54. Next year's EPS is expected at -$10.33. Analyst sentiment is neutral. Analyst rating data shows there are 2 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, 2 Hold ratings, 0 Sell rating and 0 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $60.00 to $45.00. The high target offers 81.98% upside. The low target suggests 36.49% downside. The mean target is $52.50. This offers 59.24% upside. AMERISAFE, Inc. earnings surprise history is a mixed track record. The quarter that ended October 29, 2025, missed forecasts by 0.0%. The prior quarter beat by -3.64%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include -4.92% in July 29, 2024.

AMSF has shown mixed momentum, losing -1.05% over the past week and -6.09% over the past quarter, though year-to-date performance is down -2.32%. Short-term trend indicators are bullishly aligned (SMA20 -11.09%, SMA50 -11.52%, SMA200 -18.75%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 24.41 (weak momentum), while the ATR of 1.08 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -35.21% below its high and over -7.18% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 190.23 thousand shares is in line with the 3-month average of 181.65 thousand, indicating normal recent market interest.

AMERISAFE, Inc. has 18.79 million shares outstanding. The public float is 18.41 million shares, elevated short interest at 2.13% of float. This equals 332.24 thousand shares. The short ratio is 1.84 days. Institutional investors hold 101.33% of the float. Insiders own 1.73%. BRADLEY C ALLEN JR holds 117.43 thousand shares, Frost G. Janelle has 80.85 thousand shares and MORRIS JARED A has 60.32 thousand shares. Over the past six months, insider transactions show net selling. They sold 2.48 thousand shares across 2 transactions.

AMERISAFE, Inc. last paid a dividend of 2.58 per share, this equals a trailing yield of roughly 2.92%. Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $39.21. This means the shares are trading below this model’s fair value.

AMERISAFE, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMSF) closed at $32.97 USD, gaining $0.40 (1.23%) from the previous close of $32.57. The stock is currently within 5% of its 52-week low $32.00 and $50.29. With a market capitalization of about $623.94 million, AMERISAFE, Inc. is classified as a small-cap and shows lower-than-market volatility (beta ~0.34). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 193.22 thousand shares, in line with its 52-week average. Headquartered in Deridder, LA, AMERISAFE, Inc. operates in the Financial Services sector and the Insurance - Specialty industry. Led by CEO Gerry Janelle Frost, the company employs approximately 362 people and listed since November 18, 2005. AMERISAFE, Inc., an insurance holding company, underwrites workers' compensation insurance in the United States.

AMERISAFE, Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 13.19, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.97 and a price-to-book ratio of 2.47 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at 69.93, also above market averages.

AMERISAFE, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMSF) shares are flat -2.32% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been negative over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows AMERISAFE, Inc. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of 13.19. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with the majority of ratings in Hold territory and a mean price target of $41.78, suggesting 26.72% upside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term weakness (-2.15% over two weeks), a medium-term fall (-20.05% over three months), and a longer-term loss (-14.38% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that AMERISAFE, Inc. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected decline of -2.15%, with price expected at $32.26 by April 16, 2026, within a range of $31.27 to $33.33 3-Month Outlook: Projected fall of -20.05%, reaching $26.36 by July 01, 2026, with a range of $24.59 to $27.82. 1-Year Outlook: Projected loss of -14.38%, with price at $28.23 by April 02, 2027, within a range of $26.54 to $29.51.