MSDL Company Profile and Key Details

Wall Street analysts project EPS growth of -10.42% annually over the next five years. Analyst sentiment is neutral. Analyst rating data shows there are 3 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy ratings, 11 Hold ratings, 0 Sell rating and 0 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $22.00 to $16.00. The high target offers 29.95% upside. The low target suggests -5.49% downside. The mean target is $18.93. This offers 11.81% upside. Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund earnings surprise history is a mixed track record. The quarter that ended November 06, 2025, missed forecasts by 2.04%. The prior quarter beat by -3.85%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 0.0% in August 08, 2024.

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (NYSE:MSDL) closed at $16.91 USD, losing -$0.01 (-0.09%) from the previous close of $16.93. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $15.70 and $21.75. With a market capitalization of about $1.47 billion, Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is classified as a small-cap and shows lower-than-market volatility (beta ~0.26). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 838.40 thousand shares, volume is running light vs its 52-week average. Headquartered in New York City, None, Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund operates in the Financial Services sector and the Financial - Conglomerates industry. Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is a business development and finance company, which engages in lending to middle-market companies.

MSDL has shown weak momentum, losing -2.92% over the past week and -3.37% over the past quarter, though year-to-date performance is down -18.05%. Short-term trend indicators are mixed aligned (SMA20 -2.01%, SMA50 -0.42%, SMA200 -7.92%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 43.07 (neutral), while the ATR of 0.27 points to moderate volatility. The stock remains sitting in the mid-range of its 52-week band, trading -22.16% below its high and over 7.83% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 907.14 thousand shares is slightly above the 3-month average of 821.22 thousand, indicating heightened recent market interest.

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund last paid a dividend of 2 per share, Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $0.00.

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund trades at a P/E ratio of 8.26, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 4.06 and a price-to-book ratio of 0.83 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at -69.09, also below market averages.

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (NYSE:MSDL) shares are down -18.05% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been negative over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of 8.26. Analyst sentiment is cautious, with the majority of ratings in Sector Perform territory and a mean price target of $19.37, suggesting 14.41% upside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term weakness (-5.08% over two weeks), a medium-term fall (-8.33% over three months), and a longer-term loss (-17.66% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected decline of -5.08%, with price expected at $16.07 by January 02, 2026, within a range of $15.76 to $16.36 3-Month Outlook: Projected fall of -8.33%, reaching $15.52 by March 19, 2026, with a range of $15.11 to $15.85. 1-Year Outlook: Projected loss of -17.66%, with price at $13.94 by December 18, 2026, within a range of $13.59 to $14.33.