FLY Company Profile and Key Details

Short-term trend indicators are bullishly aligned (SMA20 -2.97%, SMA50 -13.01%, SMA200 -27.35%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 46.01 (neutral), while the ATR of 2.18 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -70.83% below its high and over 34.56% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 3.49 million shares is below the 3-month average of 6.64 million, indicating normal recent market interest.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. has 164.24 million shares outstanding. The public float is 97.51 million shares, elevated short interest at 12.17% of float. This equals 11.95 million shares. The short ratio is 2.08 days. Institutional investors hold 76.17% of the float. Insiders own 20.4%. Over the past six months, insider transactions show net selling. They sold 7.53 thousand shares across 2 transactions.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. last paid a dividend of 0 per share, Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around -$4.55. This means the shares are trading below this model’s fair value.

Analyst sentiment is neutral. Analyst rating data shows there are 5 Strong Buy ratings, 5 Buy ratings, 9 Hold ratings, 0 Sell rating and 0 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $65.00 to $25.00. The high target offers 178.61% upside. The low target suggests 7.16% downside. The mean target is $43.05. This offers 84.53% upside. Firefly Aerospace Inc. earnings surprise history is a mixed track record. The quarter that ended May 04, 2026, missed forecasts by -8.0%. The prior quarter beat by -20.83%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 103365.74% in September 03, 2025.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (NASDAQ:FLY) closed at $23.33 USD, gaining $1.44 (6.58%) from the previous close of $21.89. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $16.00 and $73.80. With a market capitalization of about $3.83 billion, Firefly Aerospace Inc. is classified as a mid-cap and shows lower-than-market volatility (beta ~0.69). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 6.83 million shares, volume is running light vs its 52-week average. Headquartered in Leander, TX, Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates in the Industrials sector and the Aerospace & Defense industry. Led by CEO Jason Kim, the company employs approximately 1,409 people and listed since August 07, 2025. Firefly Aerospace Inc. is an innovative aerospace and defense technology firm that provides advanced mission capabilities for a wide range of clients, including national security initiatives, governmental bodies, and commercial ventures.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of -9.81, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 20.72 and a price-to-book ratio of 3.37 trading at moderately above to book value. The P/FCF stands at -14.88, also below market averages.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (NASDAQ:FLY) shares are up 35.63% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been positive over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows Firefly Aerospace Inc. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of -9.81. Analyst sentiment is cautious, with the majority of ratings in Equal-Weight territory and a mean price target of $43.05, suggesting 84.53% upside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term weakness (-24.65% over two weeks), a medium-term fall (-78.31% over three months), and a longer-term loss (-13.67% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that Firefly Aerospace Inc. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected decline of -24.65%, with price expected at $17.58 by August 17, 2026, within a range of $15.37 to $19.56 3-Month Outlook: Projected fall of -78.31%, reaching $5.06 by October 30, 2026, with a range of $4.20 to $5.93. 1-Year Outlook: Projected loss of -13.67%, with price at $20.14 by August 03, 2027, within a range of $17.64 to $23.46.