ASTL Company Profile and Key Details

ASTL has shown weak momentum, losing -6.29% over the past week and -1.59% over the past quarter, though year-to-date performance is down -55.83%. Short-term trend indicators are mixed aligned (SMA20 4.64%, SMA50 7.25%, SMA200 -14.88%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 54.95 (neutral), while the ATR of 0.26 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -56.76% below its high and over 43.05% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 1.01 million shares is below the 3-month average of 1.93 million, indicating normal recent market interest.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. has 104.93 million shares outstanding. The public float is 72.49 million shares, elevated short interest at 6.85% of float. This equals 5.35 million shares. The short ratio is 2.82 days. Institutional investors hold 88.2% of the float. Insiders own 9.0%.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. generated EPS of -$4.84 over the past year. Five-year average earnings growth is -10.89%. Algoma Steel Group Inc. earnings surprise history is frequent misses against expectations. The quarter that ended October 29, 2025, missed forecasts by -117.14%. The prior quarter beat by 64.44%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include -44.44% in August 13, 2024.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTL) closed at $4.48 USD, gaining $0.16 (3.77%) from the previous close of $4.32. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $3.02 and $9.99. With a market capitalization of about $470.41 million, Algoma Steel Group Inc. is classified as a small-cap and shows higher-than-market volatility (beta ~1.56). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 2.01 million shares, volume is running light vs its 52-week average. Headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Algoma Steel Group Inc. operates in the Basic Materials sector and the Steel industry. Led by CEO Michael Dennis Garcia, the company employs approximately 2,818 people and listed since March 04, 2021. Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products primarily in North America.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. last paid a dividend of 0.05 per share, Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $2.64. This means the shares are trading above this model’s fair value.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of -0.94, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.28 and a price-to-book ratio of 0.74 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at -1.14, also above market averages.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that Algoma Steel Group Inc. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected increase of 11.57%, with price expected at $4.82 by January 02, 2026, within a range of $4.63 to $5.02 3-Month Outlook: Projected rise of 16.44%, reaching $5.03 by March 19, 2026, with a range of $3.90 to $5.55. 1-Year Outlook: Projected loss of -7.87%, with price at $3.98 by December 18, 2026, within a range of $0.00 to $4.64.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTL) shares are down -55.83% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been negative over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows Algoma Steel Group Inc. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of -0.94. Analyst sentiment is bullish, with the majority of ratings in Outperform territory and a mean price target of $14.62, suggesting 238.43% upside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term strength (11.57% over two weeks), a medium-term rise (16.44% over three months), and a longer-term loss (-7.87% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.