ORGN Company Profile and Key Details

ORGN has shown weak momentum, losing -8.12% over the past week and -70.28% over the past quarter, though year-to-date performance is down -10.16%. Short-term trend indicators are bullishly aligned (SMA20 2.88%, SMA50 -17.57%, SMA200 -64.11%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 45.33 (neutral), while the ATR of 0.02 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -82.15% below its high and over 21.07% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 1.63 million shares is below the 3-month average of 1.90 million, indicating normal recent market interest.

Origin Materials, Inc. generated EPS of -$0.47 over the past year. Five-year average earnings growth is -4.8%. The latest quarter delivered EPS of -$0.00. The next quarter is forecast at $nan. Next year's EPS is expected at -$35.71. Origin Materials, Inc. earnings surprise history is a mixed track record. The quarter that ended November 13, 2025, missed forecasts by -99.84%. The prior quarter beat by 0.0%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 16.67% in August 14, 2024.

Origin Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORGN) closed at $0.16 USD, gaining $0.01 (4.80%) from the previous close of $0.15. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $0.14 and $0.95. With a market capitalization of about $24.40 million, Origin Materials, Inc. is classified as a micro-cap and shows market-like volatility (beta ~1.02). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 1.99 million shares, volume is running light vs its 52-week average. Headquartered in West Sacramento, CA, Origin Materials, Inc. operates in the Basic Materials sector and the Chemicals industry. Led by CEO John Bissell, the company employs approximately 109 people and listed since September 04, 2020. Micromidas, Inc., doing business as Origin Materials, produces and commercializes plant-based PET plastic.

Origin Materials, Inc. last paid a dividend of 0 per share, Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $0.07. This means the shares are trading above this model’s fair value.

Origin Materials, Inc. has 149.90 million shares outstanding. The public float is 128.70 million shares, elevated short interest at 2.11% of float. This equals 3.12 million shares. The short ratio is 2.8 days. Institutional investors hold 13.11% of the float. Insiders own 6.61%. SIM Boon holds 5.03 million shares, Bissell John has 1.95 million shares and Plavan Matthew T has 1.31 million shares. Over the past six months, insider transactions show net selling. They sold 379.20 thousand shares across 8 transactions.

Origin Materials, Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of -0.34, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.96 and a price-to-book ratio of 0.08 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at -0.44, also above market averages.

Origin Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORGN) shares are down -10.16% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been negative over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows Origin Materials, Inc. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of -0.34. Analyst sentiment is bullish, with the majority of ratings in Buy territory and a mean price target of $7.29, suggesting 4537.4% upside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term weakness (-10.94% over two weeks), a medium-term fall (-80.92% over three months), and a longer-term gain (78.12% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that Origin Materials, Inc. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected decline of -10.94%, with price expected at $0.14 by March 20, 2026, within a range of $0.13 to $0.15 3-Month Outlook: Projected fall of -80.92%, reaching $0.03 by June 04, 2026, with a range of $0.00 to $0.06. 1-Year Outlook: Projected gain of 78.12%, with price at $0.28 by March 05, 2027, within a range of $0.00 to $0.00.