On February 3, 2026, Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (ticker: SNCY) received a “Hold” rating from Tom Fitzgerald at TD Cowen, suggesting a cautious approach to the stock. As the airline industry grapples with ongoing volatility and evolving consumer behavior, this rating conveys a nuanced sentiment for investors, indicating that while there may be some stability, significant upside remains limited against the current market price of $18.19.
Recent Price Action
Sun Country’s stock has exhibited relatively stable trading behavior, closing at $18.19 with a modest increase of $0.15 or approximately 0.83%. Over the past week, the stock has experienced a volatility of 3.92%, reflecting some market fluctuations amid broader industry trends. Notably, the stock’s 52-week range has seen a low of $124.57, far from its current valuation, emphasizing the challenges faced by the airline as it navigates a recovering travel market. The average trading volume stands at approximately 1.22 million shares, with the recent session seeing over 2.26 million shares change hands, suggesting increased interest or speculative trading. With a market capitalization of $969.82 million and a beta of 1.585, Sun Country is positioned within a moderately risk-laden segment of the market.
Short- and Long-Term Performance
When assessing Sun Country’s performance metrics, the stock has shown a promising return of 19.15% over the last month and an impressive quarterly gain of 54.55%. However, the one-year performance, registering a modest 9.39%, underscores a volatile year for the airline sector, which has been influenced by various macroeconomic factors including fuel costs and consumer demand. Volatility on a monthly basis has averaged 3.66%, indicative of the stock’s sensitivity to market changes, particularly in light of broader economic developments impacting travel and leisure.
Earnings and Financials
In its most recent earnings report dated October 29, 2025, Sun Country announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.02822, falling significantly short of the estimated $0.08, resulting in a surprise factor of -64.73%. This disappointing performance contrasts with the prior quarter’s surprise where EPS exceeded estimates ($0.14 actual vs. $0.12 expected) by 16.67%. Such fluctuations in earnings growth suggest that investors should exercise caution when considering the stock, as past expectations do not adequately reflect the company’s current operational realities.
Analyst Consensus View
Currently, Sun Country holds a consensus rating of “Hold” from analysts, with a total of five ratings of which one is a “Buy” and four are “Hold.” The average price target aligns closely with the current market price at $18, indicating limited immediate upside, while the highest and lowest targets sit at $20 and $15, respectively. This distribution suggests a general belief among analysts that while there may be potential for growth, any significant movement will be incremental given the prevailing market conditions.
Stock Grading and Fundamental View
The Stocks Telegraph Grade for Sun Country Airlines is a 56, reflecting a solid yet cautious investment profile. This score, derived from the company’s financial strengths and weaknesses, indicates that while the fundamentals may not showcase explosive growth prospects, the airline maintains a certain level of resilience. Investors should note that this score points to stability in a sector that is often fraught with uncertainty and change.
Conclusion
For investors contemplating a position in Sun Country Airlines, the stock may be best suited for conservative investors seeking stability rather than aggressive growth. The current Hold rating and performance data suggest that while the company is navigating a challenging landscape, significant risks remain. Investors should remain vigilant regarding the airline’s earnings trajectory and broader market conditions before making any commitments. While there is potential for gradual improvement, prospective shareholders may want to keep a close eye on the forthcoming earnings results and any shifts in analyst sentiment, as these could critically influence the stock’s future direction.