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RIO Stock Analyst Ratings, Estimated Earnings and Price Targets

NYSE : RIO

Rio Tinto Group

$80.10
1.78+2.27%
At Close 4:00 PM
ProfileKey StatsAnalyst RatingsOwnershipRatiosFinancialsDividend & splitsSentimentForecast

RIO Stock 12 Month Analyst Forecast

According to evaluations from 2 analysts over the past year, the consensus analyst rating for RIO stock is "Buy". The average price target based on the past year stands at $79.00, with estimates ranging from $73.00 to $85.00.

Eps Overview

Growth Next 5yrs
1.79%
Last Quarter
$2.79
Past Year
$6.31
Growth Past 5yrs
7.61%
Next Quarter
-
Estimate Next Year
$3.93

Consensus Rating

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Consensus Price Target

Highest Price Target

$85.00

8.53% Upside

Mean Price Target

$79.00

0.87% Upside

Lowest Price Target

$73.00

-6.79% Downside

Recent Analyst Ratings

Upgrades, Downgrades, New Coverage

Actual EPS vs Estimated EPS

RIO Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

According to financial reports, RIO (NYSE: RIO) reported an actual EPS of $2.79 for the quarter ending on Jul 30, 2025, compared to an estimated $3.12, resulting in a -10.58% surprise. In the prior quarter (Feb 19, 2025), RIO recorded an actual EPS of $3.51 with a 8.67% surprise. See RIO's full earnings history.

Earnings History

EPS Surprise Factor Analysis

RIO has experienced notable EPS surprises, with the latest quarter ending Jul 30, 2025 showing a -10.58% miss. Previously, the quarter ending Feb 19, 2025 recorded a 8.67% beat. An EPS surprise factor indicates how much actual earnings deviate from analyst forecasts.

Report DateActualForecastSurprise Factor
Jul 30, 20252.793.12-10.58%
Feb 19, 20253.513.23+8.67%
Oct 15, 20243.563.49+2.01%
Jul 30, 20243.563.81-6.56%
Jul 15, 20243.563.81-6.56%
May 14, 202433.76-20.21%

After EPS Prices

RIO stock frequently reacts to earnings reports. Following the Jul 30, 2025 earnings, the share price saw a 4.67% rise before closing. On the 7th day after the report, RIO shares recorded a 3.98% gain. Analyze historical RIO stock performance post-earnings.

Earning DateBefore EPS ChangeNext Day Closing Price7th Day Closing Price
Jul 30, 2025$62.27+4.67%$59.77+0.47%$61.86+3.98%
Feb 19, 2025$64.18+2.26%$64.29+2.44%$60.56-3.51%
Oct 15, 2024$67.70+1.85%$65.95-0.78%$64.61-2.80%
Jul 30, 2024$64.70+1.84%$65.16+2.57%$62.92-0.96%
Jul 15, 2024--$66.32-1.82%$63.49-6.01%
May 14, 2024$69.84+0.22%$70.33+0.92%$71.42+2.48%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is RIO stock getting favorable reviews from Wall Street analysts?
Brokerage firms have given RIO stock an average recommendation of Buy. 2 analysts have given their ratings to RIO out of which 0 analysts have given strong buy call, 2 analysts have given buy call, 0 analysts rate it hold, 0 analysts advocate strong sell call, and 0 analysts has given sell rating. The average target price of $79.00 gives the stock implied upside of roughly 0.87% over the next year or so.
What have analysts suggested for RIO highest price target?
Analysts suggest RIO's stock price would rise to a high of $85.00.
What is the lowest price target analysts expect for RIO over the next year?
Within the next 12 months, analysts predict the RIO stock price could move to $73.00.
What is the average target price for RIO?
RIO stock has an average analyst estimate of $79.00.
At its current price, how far is RIO from its average target price?
RIO shares are currently trading 0.87% above this price target.
What were RIO’s actual earnings per share for the recent quarter?
Its quarterly earnings per share (EPS) came in at $2.79 versus consensus estimates of $3.12, and below the comparable year-ago quarter’s EPS of $3.56.
What are the current estimates for quarterly and annual earnings per share?
RIO's forecasts by analysts estimating quarterly EPS at - and $3.93 for the whole year.
What has RIO's growth been in the past five years and what is expected in the next five years?
The analysts have projected 1.79% EPS growth for RIO in the next five years, compared to growth rates of 7.61% in the past five years.
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